Dynamic Modeling

Process-Based Greenhouse Gas Flux Prediction

Advanced biogeochemical modeling for accurate Nâ‚‚O, COâ‚‚, and CHâ‚„ emissions forecasting in agricultural systems

What is Dynamic Modeling?

GHGMET's dynamic modeling system uses process-based biogeochemical algorithms to simulate greenhouse gas emissions from agricultural soils. Unlike empirical models, our approach mechanistically represents the biological, chemical, and physical processes that drive emissions.

Our Modeling Framework

We integrate two complementary modeling systems:

  • DayCent - Daily time-step biogeochemical simulation
  • LandscapeDNDC - Regional-scale spatial process modeling

By simulating these interconnected processes, the model predicts daily emissions of Nâ‚‚O, COâ‚‚, and CHâ‚„ with high temporal and spatial resolution.

Technical Specifications

Key features and capabilities of our dynamic modeling system

Multi-Gas Predictions

Simultaneous modeling of Nâ‚‚O, COâ‚‚, and CHâ‚„ emissions with daily resolution

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Process-Based Approach

Mechanistic representation of soil biogeochemistry, not just statistical correlations

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Climate Scenario Testing

Evaluate emissions under future climate conditions and management scenarios

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Site-Specific Calibration

Customizable parameters for accurate predictions across diverse agricultural systems

Calibration Guide

DayCent: Daily Biogeochemical Modeling

DayCent is the daily time-step version of the CENTURY biogeochemical model, simulating fluxes of carbon and nitrogen between atmosphere, vegetation, and soil with high temporal resolution.

Model Capabilities:

  • Daily time-step simulation of carbon and nitrogen cycling processes
  • Trace gas emissions including Nâ‚‚O, NOx, Nâ‚‚, NH₃, CHâ‚„, and COâ‚‚
  • Soil organic carbon dynamics tracking decomposition and accumulation
  • Plant production modeling with net primary productivity allocation
  • Water and nutrient leaching including nitrate (NO₃) dynamics

Validation & Performance:

DayCent has been extensively tested across various native and managed systems. Model validation studies have demonstrated strong predictive performance:

  • Annual crop yields: r² = 0.72
  • Nâ‚‚O emissions: r² = 0.68
  • NO₃ leaching: r² = 0.61

Applications:

The model is used by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and Department of Agriculture for predicting impacts of land use change, management practices, and climate variability on soil carbon sequestration and greenhouse gas emissions.

Key Inputs:

- Daily minimum/maximum air temperature

- Daily precipitation

- Surface soil texture classification

- Land cover and land use data

Aerial Satellite View

LandscapeDNDC: Regional-Scale Ecosystem Modeling

LandscapeDNDC is a simulation framework developed at the Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT) for terrestrial ecosystem models at site and regional scales, designed to capture spatial heterogeneity in biogeochemical processes.

Framework Design:

The model extends process-based biogeochemical simulation to the landscape scale, accounting for:

  • Spatial variability in soil properties, topography, and hydrology
  • Regional-scale applications from single sites to watersheds
  • Multiple ecosystems including forests, grasslands, wetlands, and croplands
  • GIS integration for spatially-explicit input data and outputs

Research Applications:

LandscapeDNDC is primarily used for research questions related to:

  • Carbon and nitrogen cycling dynamics
  • Greenhouse gas emissions mapping
  • Nutrient leaching to groundwater
  • Biomass growth and yield estimates
  • Climate change impact assessment

Spatial Capabilities:

The framework enables:

  • Terrain-driven water and nutrient redistribution
  • Field-to-watershed scale predictions
  • Multi-field management scenario analysis
  • Identification of emission hotspots for targeted mitigation

Development:

Actively developed at Karlsruhe Institute of Technology in collaboration with the Land-CRAFT center at Aarhus University, Denmark.

Landscape

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modeling@ghgmet.com

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